Start Germie Bernard or Carnell Tate? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Germie Bernard over Carnell Tate

Start

Germie Bernard

Market projects: 12.1; fantasy pts
Snap share: 48%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Sit

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 11.1; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR: 36.0; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 82%; Through Week 6
Target share: 27%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Germie Bernard for Carnell Tate?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Carnell Tate. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Germie Bernard over Carnell Tate in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Germie Bernard at 12.1 points and Carnell Tate at 11.1, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Carnell Tate this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.8 and 10.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Germie Bernard, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Germie Bernard is 53 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (5, 5 and 6 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Carnell Tate yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 10.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Germie Bernard 1.0 points ahead of Carnell Tate on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 36.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 165 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CLE.

Injury status

Germie Bernard is not on the injury report.

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Germie Bernard played 48 percent of PIT snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Germie Bernard, Week 3 against CIN: 17 of 62 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 14 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 4 against CLE: 29 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 5 against IND: 55 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 9 targets and 6 catches for 80 yards.

Germie Bernard, Week 6 against TB: 12 targets and 11 catches for 87 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Germie Bernard for Carnell Tate?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Carnell Tate. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Carnell Tate for Germie Bernard?
No. Keep Carnell Tate: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Germie Bernard 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Carnell Tate.