Should I start AJ Barner or Eli Raridon in Week 7?

The market-based projections

AJ Barner's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 35th highest figure of the 181 players with a market-based projection.

Eli Raridon's market-based projection is 3.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 62nd highest figure of the 181 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 45th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Eli Raridon, and the board ranks him 74th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, AJ Barner has been on the field for 90 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 3 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 2.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 3 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SF he caught 3 of 5 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Eli Raridon has been on the field for 51 percent of NE snaps, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 42 third down targets, had 2 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 7.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LV he caught 5 of 5 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 1 of 3 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Eli Raridon is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 51 percent.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger target share, 13 percent against 8 percent.

Byes and availability

AJ Barner is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Eli Raridon.

What would change the answer

2.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.