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Should I start DeMario Douglas or Alvin Kamara in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:41 PM ET.

Start DeMario Douglas: his market-based projection is 1.3 points a game ahead of Alvin Kamara's this season.

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for DeMario Douglas?

Not on these numbers alone. Alvin Kamara projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 10 games) and DeMario Douglas 75 (7.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR26 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
8.4 pts a game

RB18 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 2-3

Market-based projection
7.1 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference1.3 points a game
  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

DeMario Douglas's market-based projection is 8.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 71st highest figure of the 196 players with a market-based projection.

Alvin Kamara's market-based projection is 7.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 75th highest figure of the 196 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeMario Douglas, and the board ranks him 46th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Alvin Kamara, and the board ranks him 47th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, DeMario Douglas has been on the field for 54 percent of NE snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have averaged 10.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LV he caught 4 of 5 targets for 65 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 7 of 8 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Alvin Kamara has been on the field for 31 percent of NO snaps, taken 28 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 2 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 20 targets have averaged 0.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against ATL he carried 7 times for 23 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for 35 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 5 against MIN he carried 3 times for 12 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for -6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he carried 7 times for 34 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 DeMario Douglas played 17 games and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 2.7 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Alvin Kamara played 11 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He carried 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 more yards.

That came to 11.9 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 3.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

DeMario Douglas was available for 6 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Alvin Kamara scored 9.2 PPR points a game and DeMario Douglas 5.6, 3.5 a game between them.

DeMario Douglas finished WR65 and Alvin Kamara RB46, which are two different ladders.

DeMario Douglas is a wide receiver and Alvin Kamara a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

DeMario Douglas is off in Week 11 and Alvin Kamara in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

1.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for DeMario Douglas?

    Not on these numbers alone. Alvin Kamara projects 72 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 10 games) and DeMario Douglas 75 (7.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

  • Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Alvin Kamara?

    Not on these numbers alone. DeMario Douglas projects 75 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 10 games) and Alvin Kamara 72 (7.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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