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Should I start Chris Godwin Jr. or Justice Hill in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 8:41 PM ET.

Start Chris Godwin Jr.: 89 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Justice Hill's 42 percent of the snaps and 6 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Justice Hill for Chris Godwin Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.3 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR58 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
7.2 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
143

RB47 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs rush yds line 3-3

Market-based projection
4.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
144

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Godwin Jr., and the board ranks him 143rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 21; 2QB: ADP 45.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Justice Hill, and the board ranks him 144th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Chris Godwin Jr. at 1.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 1.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Chris Godwin Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Chris Godwin Jr. has been on the field for 84 percent of TB snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 4.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 6 of 7 targets for 31 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 4 of 8 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Justice Hill has been on the field for 42 percent of BAL snaps, taken 10 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have come 1.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 4 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 5.7 targets a game, a 65 percent catch rate and 10.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justice Hill played 10 games and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He carried 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 more yards.

That came to 1.8 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 2.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justice Hill was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Chris Godwin Jr. scored 9.2 PPR points a game and Justice Hill 6.5, 2.7 a game between them.

Chris Godwin Jr. finished WR78 and Justice Hill RB60, which are two different ladders.

Chris Godwin Jr. is a wide receiver and Justice Hill a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Chris Godwin Jr. is off in Week 10 and Justice Hill in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justice Hill for Chris Godwin Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.3 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Justice Hill?

    No. Keep Chris Godwin Jr.: he projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.3 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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