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Start Tyjae Spears or Justice Hill? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 8:56 PM ET.

Start Tyjae Spears over Justice Hill

Spears projects lower, 5.2 to 5.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 132 for Spears, 206 for Hill.

Start

RB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects
5.2
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB
17.6
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
44%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects
5.5
recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB
18.6
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
42%
Through Week 6
Target share
8%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyjae Spears over Justice Hill in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyjae Spears at 5.2 points and Justice Hill at 5.5, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tyjae Spears still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 132 against 206, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tyjae Spears this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (5.4 and 5.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (4.9 and 6.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.9 and 6.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyjae Spears yet. His market-based projections were 5.4 and 5.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Justice Hill 0.4 points ahead of Tyjae Spears on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Tyjae Spears and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 17.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.2 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 19 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Tyjae Spears is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Justice Hill played 42 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyjae Spears played 44 percent of TEN snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyjae Spears, Week 3 against NYG: 28 of 60 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 4 against BAL: 23 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 5 against HOU: 34 of 63 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 9 targets and 9 catches for 28 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 6 against IND: 1 carry for 1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board