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Should I start Jaylen Warren or Chris Olave in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 9:11 AM ET.

Start Jaylen Warren: his market-based projection is 2.1 points a game ahead of Chris Olave's this season.

Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Chris Olave?

Not on these numbers alone. Jaylen Warren projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games) and Chris Olave 172 (17.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB5 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 2-4

Market-based projection
17.5 pts a game

WR5 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
15.4 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference2.1 points a game
  • Board size298 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Jaylen Warren's market-based projection is 17.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 7th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

Chris Olave's market-based projection is 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 12th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylen Warren, and the board ranks him 8th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chris Olave, and the board ranks him 11th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In standard drafts he goes at ADP 9.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jaylen Warren has been on the field for 76 percent of PIT snaps, taken 69 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 1 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against CLE he carried 17 times for 93 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 15 times for 101 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 87 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 14 times for 50 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Chris Olave has been on the field for 86 percent of NO snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 37 two minute targets.

His 61 targets have averaged 12.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ATL he caught 8 of 12 targets for 116 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYG he caught 4 of 7 targets for 43 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaylen Warren played 16 games and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He carried 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 more yards.

That came to 13.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 2-3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chris Olave played 16 games and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 9.8 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 16 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Chris Olave scored 16.8 PPR points a game and Jaylen Warren 13.6, 3.2 a game between them.

Jaylen Warren finished RB17 and Chris Olave WR6, which are two different ladders.

Jaylen Warren is a running back and Chris Olave a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Jaylen Warren is off in Week 9 and Chris Olave in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Chris Olave?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jaylen Warren projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games) and Chris Olave 172 (17.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

  • Should I drop Chris Olave for Jaylen Warren?

    Not on these numbers alone. Chris Olave projects 172 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 10 games) and Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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