Start Jaylen Warren or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Start Jaylen Warren over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 18.8; recent weeks avg
NO D vs RB: 31.1; most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 76%; Through Week 6
Target share: 14%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 26.8; 5th most to RBs (2026)

Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Warren over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylen Warren over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylen Warren at 18.8 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4, a gap of 2.4. No player market is posted for Jaylen Warren this week yet, so his 18.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (19.9 and 17.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Jaylen Warren at ADP 62 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jaylen Warren yet. His market-based projections were 19.9 and 17.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Jaylen Warren 2.4 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylen Warren and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 133 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 27 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 26.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and a touchdown a game against IND and caught passes for 53 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylen Warren has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylen Warren played 76 percent of PIT snaps, took 69 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Warren, Week 3 against CIN: 56 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 127 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 5 against IND: 52 of 60 snaps, 15 carries for 101 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jaylen Warren, Week 6 against TB: 14 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Warren over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 7 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaylen Warren?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Warren over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.