Should I start Luther Burden III or Dalton Kincaid in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Luther Burden III's market-based projection is 12.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 59th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Dalton Kincaid's market-based projection is 11.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 74th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Luther Burden III, and the board ranks him 45th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 39.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dalton Kincaid, and the board ranks him 44th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 64 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 9.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against PHI he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 4 times for 2 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Dalton Kincaid has been on the field for 67 percent of BUF snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against LAC he caught 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NE he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAR he caught 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid played 12 games and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 4.1 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Dalton Kincaid scored 10.5 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 2.0 a game between them.

Luther Burden III finished WR48 and Dalton Kincaid TE20, which are two different ladders.

Luther Burden III is a wide receiver and Dalton Kincaid a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Dalton Kincaid in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.