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Should I start Efton Chism or Ted Hurst in Week 6?

Updated Oct 20, 1:31 AM ET.

Start Ted Hurst: 54 percent of the snaps and 7 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Efton Chism's 50 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR25 · NE · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
4.7 pts a game

WR69 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
3.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
158

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The gap

  • Board size295 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism, and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst, and the board ranks him 158th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Efton Chism's market-based projection is 4.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 41st highest figure of the 158 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst is 0.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Ted Hurst's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Efton Chism has been on the field for 43 percent of NE snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 2 of 4 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against LV he carried 1 time for 2 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 57 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst has been on the field for 61 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Efton Chism played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ted Hurst is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Ted Hurst holds the bigger snap share, 61 percent against 43 percent.

This season Ted Hurst holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Ted Hurst is off in Week 10. No bye is listed for Efton Chism.

What would change the answer

Ted Hurst has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Both players in full

Week 6 on the board

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