Ted Hurst or Xavier Hutchinson: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Ted Hurst at 4.9 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 144th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Xavier Hutchinson at 4.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 154th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Ted Hurst: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 144th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Xavier Hutchinson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 153rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Ted Hurst has been on the field for 66 percent of TB snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 16 targets have averaged 17.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he caught 2 of 7 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 1 of 3 targets for 40 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Xavier Hutchinson has been on the field for 58 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 26 targets have averaged 13.9 air yards.

In Week 2 against CIN he caught 3 of 9 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against IND he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Ted Hurst is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Ted Hurst holds the bigger snap share, 66 percent against 58 percent.

This season Xavier Hutchinson holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 13 percent.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.