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Should I start Jake Ferguson or Ja'Kobi Lane in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 9:21 AM ET.

Start Jake Ferguson: 74 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Ja'Kobi Lane's 40 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

TE23 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
7.6 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
139

WR64 · BAL · bye 13

Market-based projection
3.4 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
140

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The gap

  • Board size298 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jake Ferguson, and the board ranks him 139th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ja'Kobi Lane, and the board ranks him 140th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Ja'Kobi Lane is 1.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jake Ferguson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 72 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 1 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Ja'Kobi Lane has been on the field for 40 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 19 third down targets, had 1 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against IND he caught 1 of 3 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he caught 4 of 5 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ja'Kobi Lane is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Jake Ferguson is a tight end and Ja'Kobi Lane a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Jake Ferguson is off in Week 14 and Ja'Kobi Lane in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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