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Start Jake Ferguson or Pat Freiermuth? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Pat Freiermuth over Jake Ferguson

Start

Pat Freiermuth

TE · PIT · at NO

Market projects
7.5
recent weeks avg
NO D vs TE
17.9
6th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at TE
Snap share
69%
Through Week 6
Target share
13%
Through Week 6
Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at PHI

Market projects
6.4
fantasy pts
PHI D vs TE
11.7
13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at TE
Snap share
68%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Pat Freiermuth?

Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.0 a game over 10 games) and Pat Freiermuth 82 (8.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Pat Freiermuth over Jake Ferguson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Pat Freiermuth over Jake Ferguson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Pat Freiermuth at 7.5 points and Jake Ferguson at 6.4, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Pat Freiermuth this week yet, so his 7.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.4, 7.7 and 8.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Pat Freiermuth yet. His market-based projections were 6.4, 7.7 and 8.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 7.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Pat Freiermuth is 0.3 touchdowns (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 20 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (8, 8 and 11 market sources).

That puts Pat Freiermuth 1.1 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Pat Freiermuth and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 17.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 76 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against NO.

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 11.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 48 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PHI.

By points allowed to the position, Pat Freiermuth has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Pat Freiermuth is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Pat Freiermuth played 69 percent of PIT snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 3 against CIN: 37 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 30 yards.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 4 against CLE: 54 of 72 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 5 against IND: 41 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Pat Freiermuth, Week 6 against TB: 57 of 79 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards.

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson played 68 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Pat Freiermuth played 17 games for PIT and scored 113.6 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing TE25.

He caught 41 of 54 targets for 486 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 231 air yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Pat Freiermuth?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.0 a game over 10 games) and Pat Freiermuth 82 (8.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Pat Freiermuth over Jake Ferguson.

  • Should I drop Pat Freiermuth for Jake Ferguson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Pat Freiermuth projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.2 a game over 10 games) and Jake Ferguson 80 (8.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Pat Freiermuth over Jake Ferguson.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board