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Should I start Zay Flowers or J.K. Dobbins in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:31 AM ET.

Start Zay Flowers: 81 percent of the snaps and 33 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against J.K. Dobbins's 45 percent of the snaps and 59 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR31 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
77

RB27 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Market-based projection
9.1 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
78

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 77th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on J.K. Dobbins, and the board ranks him 78th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has J.K. Dobbins at 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 61 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 1 time for 13 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins has been on the field for 44 percent of DEN snaps, taken 57 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 7 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 22 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have come 1.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against SF he carried 11 times for 40 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LAC he carried 18 times for 68 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against SEA he carried 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 5 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 J.K. Dobbins played 10 games and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He carried 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 more yards.

That came to 15.3 carries a game at 5.0 yards a carry and 1.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 7 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and J.K. Dobbins 11.6, 2.7 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 and J.K. Dobbins RB43, which are two different ladders.

Zay Flowers is a wide receiver and J.K. Dobbins a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and J.K. Dobbins in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for J.K. Dobbins?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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