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Should I start Kendre Miller or Rico Dowdle in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 3:21 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

RB · NO · vs PIT

Market projects
8.1
fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB
20.4
15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
66 of 100 at RB
Snap share
30%
Through Week 6
Target share
4%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects
8.0
fantasy pts
NO D vs RB
29.7
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
81 of 100 at RB
Snap share
36%
Through Week 6
Target share
9%
Through Week 6
Start Miller or Dowdle? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Kendre Miller: his market-based projection is 0.2 points a game ahead of Rico Dowdle's this season.

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Kendre Miller?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kendre Miller projects 52 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.2 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kendre Miller over Rico Dowdle, 8.1 to 8.0 projected PPR points.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB11 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
8.2 pts a game

RB12 · PIT · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 6-11

Market-based projection
8.1 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference0.2 points a game
  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Kendre Miller's market-based projection is 8.2 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 8.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 45th highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kendre Miller, and the board ranks him 39th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 40th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Kendre Miller has been on the field for 30 percent of NO snaps, taken 39 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 4 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have come 0.9 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against ATL he carried 6 times for 9 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIN he carried 10 times for 30 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against NYG he carried 20 times for 70 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 36 percent of PIT snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 17 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against ATL he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against NE he carried 7 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Kendre Miller played 7 games and scored 33.3 PPR points, 4.8 a game, finishing RB79.

He carried 47 times for 193 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 5 of 5 targets for 30 more yards.

That came to 6.7 carries a game at 4.1 yards a carry and 0.7 catches a game.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Rico Dowdle was available for 10 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Kendre Miller 4.8, 8.0 a game between them.

Kendre Miller finished RB79 that year and Rico Dowdle RB18.

Rico Dowdle had 189 more carries than Kendre Miller, 236 to 47.

Rico Dowdle had 34 more catches than Kendre Miller, 39 to 5.

This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger snap share, 36 percent against 30 percent.

This season Kendre Miller holds the bigger share of the carries, 39 percent against 35 percent.

Byes and availability

Kendre Miller is off in Week 8 and Rico Dowdle in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Kendre Miller?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kendre Miller projects 52 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.2 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kendre Miller over Rico Dowdle, 8.1 to 8.0 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Kendre Miller for Rico Dowdle?

    No. Keep Kendre Miller: he projects 52 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.2 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kendre Miller over Rico Dowdle, 8.1 to 8.0 projected PPR points.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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