Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 9:21 AM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start Patrick Mahomes: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Kyle Pitts Sr.'s 59 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 195 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.7 a game over 11 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games).

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Your next move

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Patrick Mahomes

QB8 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 3-2

Market-based projection: 16.3 pts a game

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE7 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection: 7.3 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank: 40

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The gap

Board size298 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 39th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kyle Pitts Sr., and the board ranks him 40th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 16.3 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 11th highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

No season market is posted for Kyle Pitts Sr., so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and thrown 6.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 174 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

Through Week 6, Kyle Pitts Sr. has been on the field for 55 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 2 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 6.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 5 of 6 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against CHI he caught 5 of 7 targets for 60 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr. was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Kyle Pitts Sr. 12.4, 8.8 a game between them.

Patrick Mahomes finished QB11 and Kyle Pitts Sr. TE2, which are two different ladders.

Patrick Mahomes is a quarterback and Kyle Pitts Sr. a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Patrick Mahomes is off in Week 5 and Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kyle Pitts Sr. has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Patrick Mahomes?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 195 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.7 a game over 11 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games).
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Kyle Pitts Sr.?
No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 195 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.7 a game over 11 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games).