Start Patrick Mahomes or Bryce Young? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 3:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Patrick Mahomes over Bryce Young

Start

Patrick Mahomes

QB · KC · at SEA

Market projects: 16.4; fantasy pts
SEA D vs QB: 12.3; 2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 13 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Bryce Young

QB · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 16.0; recent weeks avg
TB D vs QB: 15.3; 10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 58 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 97%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bryce Young for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 195 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.7 a game over 11 games), Bryce Young 183 (16.6 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Bryce Young.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Patrick Mahomes over Bryce Young in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Patrick Mahomes at 16.4 points and Bryce Young at 16.0, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Bryce Young this week yet, so his 16.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (15.7 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 107 and Bryce Young at 212.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.4 fantasy points for Patrick Mahomes, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 221 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 12 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bryce Young yet. His market-based projections were 15.7 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 16.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Bryce Young is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

That puts Patrick Mahomes 0.4 points ahead of Bryce Young on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Patrick Mahomes and KC visit SEA on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

SEA allowed 12.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 157 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against SEA, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Bryce Young and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 15.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against TB, with an interception a game.

By points allowed to the position, Bryce Young has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Patrick Mahomes is not on the injury report.

Bryce Young is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes played 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and threw an average of 6.3 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 2 against IND: 80 of 80 snaps, 32 of 47 passes for 382 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 3 against MIA: 52 of 52 snaps, 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 4 against LV: 60 of 60 snaps, 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Through Week 6, Bryce Young played 97 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 217 times and threw an average of 9.2 air yards per attempt.

Bryce Young, Week 2 against ATL: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 3 against CLE: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 47 passes for 291 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Bryce Young, Week 4 against DET: 75 of 75 snaps, 29 of 41 passes for 329 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 7 yards.

Bryce Young, Week 6 against PHI: 79 of 79 snaps, 20 of 39 passes for 281 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bryce Young played 16 games for CAR and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He completed 304 of 478 passes for 3011 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 54 times for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bryce Young for Patrick Mahomes?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 195 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.7 a game over 11 games), Bryce Young 183 (16.6 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Bryce Young.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Bryce Young?
No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 195 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.7 a game over 11 games), Bryce Young 183 (16.6 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Bryce Young.