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Should I start MarShawn Lloyd or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 7:41 PM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr.: 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against MarShawn Lloyd's 46 percent of the snaps and 36 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Michael Penix Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB34 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Market-based projection
11.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
96

QB14 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Overall rank
98

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on MarShawn Lloyd, and the board ranks him 96th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 98th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 3.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 11 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 16.1 PPR points a game off 4 markets across 3 market sources. That is 90 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

MarShawn Lloyd's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd has been on the field for 39 percent of GB snaps, taken 41 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 3 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 7 times for 13 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 10 times for 31 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 8 times for 10 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

In Week 6 against CHI he completed 19 of 33 passes for 225 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

The season feed carries no line for MarShawn Lloyd in the last completed season.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

MarShawn Lloyd is a running back and Michael Penix Jr. a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Michael Penix Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for MarShawn Lloyd?

    No. Keep Michael Penix Jr.: he projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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