Should I drop Jameis Winston for Michael Penix Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Jameis Winston projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.8 a game over 10 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jameis Winston over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

Start Michael Penix Jr. or Jameis Winston? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 1:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Jameis Winston over Michael Penix Jr.

Start

Jameis Winston

QB · NYG · at HOU

Market projects: 13.5; recent weeks avg
HOU D vs QB: 17.0; 15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 6

Sit

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs SF · Questionable

Market projects: 12.2; recent weeks avg
SF D vs QB: 13.7; 5th fewest to QBs (2026)

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Jameis Winston?

Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 136 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 10 games) and Jameis Winston 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jameis Winston over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jameis Winston over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jameis Winston at 13.5 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 12.2, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jameis Winston this week yet, so his 13.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (14.1 and 12.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. this week yet, so his 12.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (12.1 and 12.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jameis Winston yet. His market-based projections were 14.1 and 12.9 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 13.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 12.1 and 12.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 12.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Jameis Winston 1.3 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jameis Winston and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 256 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions.

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 13.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 211 yards and a touchdown a game against SF, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Jameis Winston has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jameis Winston is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jameis Winston played 96 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 178 times and threw an average of 9.2 air yards per attempt.

Jameis Winston, Week 3 against TEN: 64 of 64 snaps, 14 of 22 passes for 118 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 15 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 4 against ARI: 67 of 67 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 250 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Jameis Winston, Week 5 against WAS: 84 of 89 snaps, 33 of 54 passes for 326 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 28 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 6 against NO: 14 of 26 passes for 152 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jameis Winston played 3 games for NYG and scored 45.3 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing QB46.

He completed 37 of 66 passes for 567 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and ran 7 times for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Jameis Winston?
Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 136 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 10 games) and Jameis Winston 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jameis Winston over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Jameis Winston for Michael Penix Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Jameis Winston projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.8 a game over 10 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jameis Winston over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.