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Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Zay Flowers in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 1:41 AM ET.

Michael Penix Jr. is the start on the latest market-based projection, 15.0 points to Zay Flowers's 13.5, with Zay Flowers on the market figure from his Week 6 game because his next market is not posted yet. This answer reorders when it is. What follows is how each has been used this season.

Should I drop Zay Flowers for Michael Penix Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 150 (15.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB18 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Market-based projection
15.0 pts a game

WR47 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
134

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The gap

  • Board size303 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 134th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 5 market sources. That is the 39th highest figure of the 198 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

In Week 6 against CHI he completed 19 of 33 passes for 225 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 61 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 1 time for 13 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Michael Penix Jr. 13.7, 0.6 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. finished QB33 and Zay Flowers WR7, which are two different ladders.

Michael Penix Jr. is a quarterback and Zay Flowers a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11 and Zay Flowers in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Zay Flowers has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Michael Penix Jr.?

    Not on these numbers alone. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 150 (15.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Zay Flowers?

    Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 10 games) and Zay Flowers 146 (14.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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