Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Michael Penix Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

Start Michael Penix Jr. or Aaron Rodgers? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:31 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Start Aaron Rodgers over Michael Penix Jr.

Start

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 13.3; recent weeks avg
NO D vs QB: 17.1; 16th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Sit

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs SF · Questionable

Market projects: 12.2; recent weeks avg
SF D vs QB: 13.7; 5th fewest to QBs (2026)

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Aaron Rodgers?

Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 136 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 10 games) and Aaron Rodgers 142 (14.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Aaron Rodgers at 13.3 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 12.2, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (12.0 and 14.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. this week yet, so his 12.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (12.1 and 12.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers yet. His market-based projections were 12.0 and 14.5 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 12.1 and 12.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 12.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Aaron Rodgers 1.0 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 17.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NO, with 0.2 interceptions.

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 13.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 211 yards and a touchdown a game against SF, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 252 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Aaron Rodgers?
Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 136 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 10 games) and Aaron Rodgers 142 (14.2 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Michael Penix Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 142 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.2 a game over 10 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.