Start Daniel Jones or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Daniel Jones over Michael Penix Jr.

Start

Daniel Jones

QB · IND · at MIN

Market projects: 13.3; recent weeks avg
MIN D vs QB: 9.6; fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs SF · Questionable

Market projects: 12.2; recent weeks avg
SF D vs QB: 13.7; 5th fewest to QBs (2026)

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Daniel Jones?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Daniel Jones projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.2 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Daniel Jones over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Daniel Jones over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Daniel Jones at 13.3 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 12.2, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Daniel Jones this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.1 and 10.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. this week yet, so his 12.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (12.1 and 12.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Daniel Jones yet. His market-based projections were 16.1 and 10.5 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 12.1 and 12.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 12.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Daniel Jones 1.1 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Daniel Jones and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 9.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 195 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.2 interceptions.

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 13.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 211 yards and a touchdown a game against SF, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Michael Penix Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 239 times and threw an average of 8.1 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 3 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 36 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 5 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 4 against WAS: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 34 passes for 143 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 5 against PIT: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 44 passes for 267 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 6 against TEN: 22 of 41 passes for 269 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Daniel Jones?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Daniel Jones projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.2 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Daniel Jones over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Daniel Jones for Michael Penix Jr.?
No. Keep Daniel Jones: he projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.2 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Daniel Jones over Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.