Start Bo Nix or Jameis Winston? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 7:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bo Nix over Jameis Winston

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 16.2; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 23.2; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jameis Winston

QB · NYG · at HOU

Market projects: 13.5; recent weeks avg
HOU D vs QB: 17.0; 15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jameis Winston for Bo Nix?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games), Jameis Winston 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Jameis Winston.

Bo Nix rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Jameis Winston in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.2 points and Jameis Winston at 13.5, a gap of 2.7. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 16.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.0 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jameis Winston this week yet, so his 13.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (14.1 and 12.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jameis Winston yet. His market-based projections were 14.1 and 12.9 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 13.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bo Nix 2.7 points ahead of Jameis Winston on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

Jameis Winston and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 256 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Jameis Winston is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 6, Jameis Winston played 96 percent of NYG snaps, dropped back 178 times and threw an average of 9.2 air yards per attempt.

Jameis Winston, Week 3 against TEN: 64 of 64 snaps, 14 of 22 passes for 118 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 15 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 4 against ARI: 67 of 67 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 250 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Jameis Winston, Week 5 against WAS: 84 of 89 snaps, 33 of 54 passes for 326 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 28 yards.

Jameis Winston, Week 6 against NO: 14 of 26 passes for 152 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jameis Winston played 3 games for NYG and scored 45.3 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing QB46.

He completed 37 of 66 passes for 567 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and ran 7 times for 23 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jameis Winston for Bo Nix?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games), Jameis Winston 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Jameis Winston.
Should I drop Bo Nix for Jameis Winston?
No. Keep Bo Nix: he projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games), Jameis Winston 138 (13.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Jameis Winston.