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Start Deshaun Watson or Bo Nix? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET.

Start

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects
16.2
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB
23.2
3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6
Sit

QB · CLE · at TEN

Market projects
14.8
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB
15.5
11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for Deshaun Watson?

Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Deshaun Watson 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.2 points and Deshaun Watson at 14.8, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 16.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.0 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Deshaun Watson this week yet, so his 14.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (13.4 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Deshaun Watson yet. His market-based projections were 13.4 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 14.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bo Nix 1.3 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

Deshaun Watson and CLE visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 15.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 229 yards and a touchdown a game against TEN, with 0.4 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 6, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 220 times and threw an average of 7.3 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 3 against CAR: 69 of 70 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 47 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 4 against PIT: 64 of 64 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 268 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 5 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 6 against BAL: 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Bo Nix for Deshaun Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Bo Nix projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Deshaun Watson 164 (16.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson.

  • Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Bo Nix?

    Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 164 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 10 games) and Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Deshaun Watson.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board