Start Tyler Shough or Bo Nix? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Nix projects lower, 16.2 to 17.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 116 for Nix, 147 for Shough.

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 16.2; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 23.2; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs PIT

Market projects: 17.3; recent weeks avg
PIT D vs QB: 12.9; 2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for Tyler Shough?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Tyler Shough. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bo Nix over Tyler Shough in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.2 points and Tyler Shough at 17.3, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Bo Nix still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 116 against 147, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 16.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.0 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Shough this week yet, so his 17.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (18.0 and 16.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyler Shough yet. His market-based projections were 18.0 and 16.6 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 17.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Tyler Shough 1.1 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyler Shough and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 12.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 234 yards and a touchdown a game against PIT, with 0.8 interceptions.

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 255 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 3 against LV: 74 of 74 snaps, 29 of 42 passes for 255 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 36 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Tyler Shough, Week 6 against NYG: 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 33 yards.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Tyler Shough?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Tyler Shough. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Tyler Shough for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Tyler Shough: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bo Nix over Tyler Shough.