Start Chris Godwin Jr. or Keenan Allen? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 9:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Keenan Allen

Godwin projects lower, 7.2 to 9.8, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 82 for Godwin, 142 for Allen.

Start

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 7.2; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 41 of 100 at WR

Sit

Keenan Allen

WR · IND · at MIN

Market projects: 9.8; recent weeks avg
MIN D vs WR: 27.1; 5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 71 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 62%; Through Week 6
Target share: 23%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Keenan Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Keenan Allen projects 86 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.6 a game over 10 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Keenan Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Keenan Allen in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Chris Godwin Jr. at 7.2 points and Keenan Allen at 9.8, a gap of 2.5. Chris Godwin Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 82 against 142, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Chris Godwin Jr. this week yet, so his 7.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.9, 7.6 and 7.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keenan Allen this week yet, so his 9.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (10.6, 7.6 and 11.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Chris Godwin Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 6.9, 7.6 and 7.2 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 7.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Keenan Allen yet. His market-based projections were 10.6, 7.6 and 11.2 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 9.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Keenan Allen is 0.2 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Keenan Allen 2.5 points ahead of Chris Godwin Jr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Keenan Allen and IND visit MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 27.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Chris Godwin Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Godwin Jr. is not on the injury report.

Keenan Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Keenan Allen played 62 percent of IND snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Keenan Allen, Week 2 against KC: 33 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 3 against HOU: 52 of 71 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keenan Allen, Week 5 against PIT: 32 of 71 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 45 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 6 against TEN: 59 of 83 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 82 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Keenan Allen?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Keenan Allen projects 86 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.6 a game over 10 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Keenan Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Keenan Allen for Chris Godwin Jr.?
No. Keep Keenan Allen: he projects 86 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.6 a game over 10 games), Chris Godwin Jr. 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Keenan Allen.