Should I drop Ryan Flournoy for Chris Godwin Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Ryan Flournoy projects 77 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.7 a game over 10 games) and Chris Godwin Jr. 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Ryan Flournoy.

Start Ryan Flournoy or Chris Godwin Jr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 9:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Ryan Flournoy

Godwin projects lower, 7.2 to 8.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 82 for Godwin, 220 for Flournoy.

Start

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 7.2; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 41 of 100 at WR

Sit

Ryan Flournoy

WR · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 8.2; fantasy pts
PHI D vs WR: 38.3; 3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 93 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 74%; Through Week 6
Target share: 15%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Ryan Flournoy?

Not on these numbers alone. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 77 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.7 a game over 10 games) and Ryan Flournoy 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Ryan Flournoy.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Chris Godwin Jr. over Ryan Flournoy in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Chris Godwin Jr. at 7.2 points and Ryan Flournoy at 8.2, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Godwin Jr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 82 against 220, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Chris Godwin Jr. this week yet, so his 7.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.9, 7.6 and 7.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for Ryan Flournoy, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ryan Flournoy is 33 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 6 and 11 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Chris Godwin Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 6.9, 7.6 and 7.2 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 7.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Ryan Flournoy 0.9 points ahead of Chris Godwin Jr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Ryan Flournoy and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 38.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 181 yards and a touchdown a game against PHI.

Chris Godwin Jr. and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Ryan Flournoy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ryan Flournoy is not on the injury report.

Chris Godwin Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Ryan Flournoy played 74 percent of DAL snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Ryan Flournoy, Week 3 against BAL: 49 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Ryan Flournoy, Week 4 against HOU: 58 of 78 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.

Ryan Flournoy, Week 5 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 90 yards.

Ryan Flournoy, Week 6 against GB: 68 of 78 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ryan Flournoy played 16 games for DAL and scored 114.0 PPR points, 7.1 a game, finishing WR57.

He caught 40 of 56 targets for 475 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 271 air yards.

He was on the field for 41 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chris Godwin Jr. played 9 games for TB and scored 83.0 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing WR78.

He caught 33 of 51 targets for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 154 air yards.

He was on the field for 71 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 47 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 53 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 108 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.8 PPR points.

Chris Godwin Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 41 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 8.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Chris Godwin Jr. for Ryan Flournoy?
Not on these numbers alone. Chris Godwin Jr. projects 77 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.7 a game over 10 games) and Ryan Flournoy 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Ryan Flournoy.
Should I drop Ryan Flournoy for Chris Godwin Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Ryan Flournoy projects 77 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (7.7 a game over 10 games) and Chris Godwin Jr. 77 (7.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Chris Godwin Jr. over Ryan Flournoy.