Matthew Stafford or C.J. Stroud: Week 6 result

Updated Oct 19, 8:16 AM ET. Locked at kickoff. Graded after. Week 7 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Matthew Stafford over C.J. Stroud

Wrong: 16.9 to 24.0

Start

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · vs ARI · final

Market projected: 21.1; pre-game
ARI D vs QB: 23.2; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at QB
Scored: 16.9; PPR pts

Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at JAX · final

Market projected: 16.7; pre-game
JAX D vs QB: 15.2; 10th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 81 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Week 6
Scored: 24.0; PPR pts

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Matthew Stafford?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games).

C.J. Stroud rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 6 call

Start Matthew Stafford over C.J. Stroud in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 21.1 points and C.J. Stroud at 16.7, a gap of 4.4. Drafters take Matthew Stafford at ADP 75 and C.J. Stroud at 185.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 21.1 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 280 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (12, 14, 6 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.7 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for C.J. Stroud is 254 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Matthew Stafford 4.4 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Matthew Stafford and LAR host ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit JAX on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

JAX allowed 15.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 274 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against JAX, with 1.2 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Matthew Stafford played 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 224 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 2 against NYG: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 5, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 6 went

Matthew Stafford scored 16.9 PPR points and C.J. Stroud scored 24.0.

The call was wrong: C.J. Stroud outscored Matthew Stafford by 7.1.

Matthew Stafford finished 4.2 points below the 21.1 the market projected.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 16.9 PPR points.

Matthew Stafford finished as the week's QB12 in PPR scoring.

C.J. Stroud finished 7.3 points above the 16.7 the market projected.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards, 24.0 PPR points.

C.J. Stroud finished as the week's QB3 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 6 calls

This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Matthew Stafford?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Matthew Stafford projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games).
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for C.J. Stroud?
No. Keep Matthew Stafford: he projects 180 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.0 a game over 10 games), C.J. Stroud 165 (16.5 a game over 10 games).