Matthew Stafford or C.J. Stroud: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Matthew Stafford at 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 31st highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price C.J. Stroud at 15.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Stafford: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 17.

Drafters have formed no consensus on C.J. Stroud: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 76.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 84 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 25 times and thrown 9.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 7 of 25 dropbacks.

In Week 1 against SF he completed 15 of 25 passes for 155 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

Through Week 1, C.J. Stroud has been on the field for 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 42 times and thrown 8.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 42 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against BUF he completed 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 15 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 C.J. Stroud played 14 games and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He threw for 3041 yards on 423 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.2 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and C.J. Stroud 15.5, 5.6 a game between them.

Matthew Stafford finished QB3 that year and C.J. Stroud QB21.

Matthew Stafford had 174 more pass attempts than C.J. Stroud, 597 to 423.

Matthew Stafford had 1666 more passing yards than C.J. Stroud, 4707 to 3041.

This season C.J. Stroud holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 84 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Matthew Stafford is off in Week 11 and C.J. Stroud in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.