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Start Cole Kmet or Noah Gray? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:36 AM ET.

Start Noah Gray over Cole Kmet

Start

TE

Market projects
3.6
recent weeks avg
Snap share
58%
Through Week 6
Target share
7%
Through Week 6
Market projects
3.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
61%
Through Week 6
Target share
6%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Noah Gray over Cole Kmet in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Noah Gray at 3.6 points and Cole Kmet at 3.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Noah Gray this week yet, so his 3.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (3.1 and 4.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Noah Gray yet. His market-based projections were 3.1 and 4.1 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 3.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Noah Gray is 0.1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.2 fantasy points for Cole Kmet, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Cole Kmet is 9 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9 and 13 market sources).

That puts Noah Gray 0.3 points ahead of Cole Kmet on these projections.

Injury status

Noah Gray is not on the injury report.

Cole Kmet is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Noah Gray played 58 percent of KC snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 7 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Gray, Week 2 against IND: 40 of 80 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 3 against MIA: 33 of 52 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 39 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 4 against LV: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 6 against LAC: 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Through Week 6, Cole Kmet played 61 percent of CHI snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 1 percent of the red zone chances.

Cole Kmet, Week 3 against PHI: 43 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Cole Kmet, Week 4 against NYJ: 68 of 93 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Cole Kmet, Week 5 against GB: 29 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards.

Cole Kmet, Week 6 against ATL: 2 targets and 2 catches for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Noah Gray played 16 games for KC and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Cole Kmet played 16 games for CHI and scored 78.7 PPR points, 4.9 a game, finishing TE36.

He caught 30 of 48 targets for 347 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 198 air yards.

He was on the field for 69 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board