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Start DeMario Douglas or Jaylin Noel? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:41 PM ET.

Start

WR · NE · at CHI

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
31.5
15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at WR
Snap share
54%
Through Week 6
Target share
17%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
NYG D vs WR
31.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at WR
Snap share
46%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start DeMario Douglas over Jaylin Noel in Week 7.

Market-based projections have DeMario Douglas at 8.3 points and Jaylin Noel at 5.7, a gap of 2.7. No player market is posted for Jaylin Noel this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (8.1, 4.6 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.4 fantasy points for DeMario Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for DeMario Douglas is 35 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 11 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jaylin Noel yet. His market-based projections were 8.1, 4.6 and 4.3 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts DeMario Douglas 2.7 points ahead of Jaylin Noel on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

DeMario Douglas and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Jaylin Noel and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, DeMario Douglas has the softer matchup.

Injury status

DeMario Douglas is not on the injury report.

Jaylin Noel is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, DeMario Douglas played 54 percent of NE snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

DeMario Douglas, Week 3 against JAX: 37 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 38 yards.

DeMario Douglas, Week 4 against BUF: 35 of 76 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

DeMario Douglas, Week 5 against LV: 37 of 75 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards, 2 touchdowns.

DeMario Douglas, Week 6 against NYJ: 40 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel played 46 percent of HOU snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylin Noel, Week 3 against IND: 14 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 8 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 5 against TEN: 30 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylin Noel, Week 6 against JAX: 31 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DeMario Douglas played 17 games for NE and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 233 air yards.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jaylin Noel played 17 games for HOU and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 193 air yards.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board