Should I drop Joe Burrow for Drake Maye?

Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games) and Drake Maye 181 (18.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Drake Maye over Joe Burrow.

Start Drake Maye or Joe Burrow? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Drake Maye over Joe Burrow

Start

Drake Maye

QB · NE · at CHI

Market projects: 20.2; recent weeks avg
CHI D vs QB: 17.5; 14th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 96%; Through Week 6

Sit

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at BAL

Market projects: 17.6; recent weeks avg
BAL D vs QB: 16.5; 13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 5

Should I drop Drake Maye for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 181 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 10 games) and Joe Burrow 186 (16.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Drake Maye over Joe Burrow.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Drake Maye over Joe Burrow in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Drake Maye at 20.2 points and Joe Burrow at 17.6, a gap of 2.6. No player market is posted for Drake Maye this week yet, so his 20.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (23.6 and 16.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Joe Burrow this week yet, so his 17.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.6 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Drake Maye at ADP 50 and Joe Burrow at 55.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Drake Maye yet. His market-based projections were 23.6 and 16.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 20.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Joe Burrow yet. His market-based projections were 17.6 and 17.6 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 17.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Drake Maye 2.6 points ahead of Joe Burrow on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Drake Maye and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 17.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 229 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CHI, with 0.6 interceptions.

Joe Burrow and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 16.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and a touchdown a game against BAL, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Drake Maye has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Drake Maye is not on the injury report.

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Drake Maye played 96 percent of NE snaps, dropped back 214 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Drake Maye, Week 3 against JAX: 51 of 63 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 199 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 18 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 4 against BUF: 76 of 76 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 269 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 56 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 5 against LV: 75 of 75 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 374 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Drake Maye, Week 6 against NYJ: 18 of 32 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Through Week 5, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 204 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 2 against HOU: 60 of 60 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 207 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Joe Burrow, Week 3 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Drake Maye played 17 games for NE and scored 360.0 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB2.

He completed 354 of 492 passes for 4394 yards, 31 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 103 times for 450 yards and 4 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Drake Maye for Joe Burrow?
Not on these numbers alone. Drake Maye projects 181 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 10 games) and Joe Burrow 186 (16.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Drake Maye over Joe Burrow.
Should I drop Joe Burrow for Drake Maye?
Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games) and Drake Maye 181 (18.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Drake Maye over Joe Burrow.