Start Bo Nix or Joe Burrow? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Joe Burrow over Bo Nix

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at BAL

Market projects: 17.6; recent weeks avg
BAL D vs QB: 16.5; 13th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 5

Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at ARI

Market projects: 16.2; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs QB: 23.2; 3rd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Bo Nix for Joe Burrow?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Joe Burrow projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Joe Burrow over Bo Nix.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Bo Nix rookie cards Joe Burrow rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 7 call

Start Joe Burrow over Bo Nix in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 17.6 points and Bo Nix at 16.2, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Joe Burrow this week yet, so his 17.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (17.6 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 16.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.0 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Joe Burrow yet. His market-based projections were 17.6 and 17.6 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 17.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.0 and 16.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Joe Burrow 1.4 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 16.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and a touchdown a game against BAL, with 0.6 interceptions.

Bo Nix and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 252 yards and 2.8 touchdowns a game against ARI, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Bo Nix has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 204 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 2 against HOU: 60 of 60 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 207 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Joe Burrow, Week 3 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Through Week 6, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 202 times and threw an average of 4.9 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Bo Nix for Joe Burrow?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Joe Burrow projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Joe Burrow over Bo Nix.
Should I drop Joe Burrow for Bo Nix?
No. Keep Joe Burrow: he projects 186 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 11 games), Bo Nix 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Joe Burrow over Bo Nix.