Tyler Shough or Michael Penix Jr.: Week 6 result

Updated Oct 19, 8:31 AM ET. Locked at kickoff. Graded after. Week 7 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tyler Shough over Michael Penix Jr.

Right: 27.0 to 23.1

Start

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · at NYG · final

Market projected: 16.6; pre-game
NYG D vs QB: 19.9; 9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 39 of 100 at QB
Scored: 27.0; PPR pts

Sit

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · final

Market projected: 15.3; pre-game
Upside: Moderate; 52 of 100 at QB
Scored: 23.1; PPR pts

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Tyler Shough?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

Tyler Shough rookie cards Michael Penix Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 6 call

Start Tyler Shough over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 6.

Market-based projections have Tyler Shough at 16.6 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 15.3, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.6 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyler Shough is 230 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 15, 9 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Michael Penix Jr. is 237 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 3 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 15, 8 and 14 market sources).

That puts Tyler Shough 1.3 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.

Week 6 matchups

Tyler Shough and NO visit NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 210 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NYG, with 1.2 interceptions.

Injury status

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 6

Through Week 5, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 223 times and threw an average of 8.0 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 3 against LV: 74 of 74 snaps, 29 of 42 passes for 255 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 36 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 5 against MIN: 45 of 45 snaps, 16 of 25 passes for 96 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 6 went

Tyler Shough scored 27.0 PPR points and Michael Penix Jr. scored 23.1.

The call was right: Tyler Shough outscored Michael Penix Jr. by 3.9.

Tyler Shough finished 10.4 points above the 16.6 the market projected.

Tyler Shough, Week 6 against NYG: 70 of 72 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 32 yards, 27.0 PPR points.

Tyler Shough finished as the week's QB2 in PPR scoring.

Michael Penix Jr. finished 7.8 points above the 15.3 the market projected.

Their other Week 6 calls

This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Tyler Shough?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Shough projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Tyler Shough for Michael Penix Jr.?
No. Keep Tyler Shough: he projects 175 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.5 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.