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Should I start Aaron Rodgers or Carson Beck in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Cardinals to start rookie QB Carson Beck against Rams (ESPN)

Start Aaron Rodgers: his market-based projection is 4.5 points a game ahead of Carson Beck's this season.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB20 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs pass yds line 5-3

Market-based projection
15.0 pts a game

QB33 · ARI · bye 14

Market-based projection
10.5 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference4.5 points a game
  • Board size320 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Aaron Rodgers's market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 36th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Carson Beck's market-based projection is 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 77th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Rodgers, and the board ranks him 113th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Carson Beck, and the board ranks him 177th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers has been on the field for 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 48 of 311 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.

In Week 6 against TB he completed 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

In Week 7 against NO he completed 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 8 yards.

In Week 8 against CLE he completed 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards and threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

The usage feed holds no snap or target counts for Carson Beck this season.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Rodgers played 16 games and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He threw for 3322 yards on 498 attempts with 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.1 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carson Beck is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Byes and availability

Aaron Rodgers is off in Week 9 and Carson Beck in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

4.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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