Should I start Ted Hurst III or Adonai Mitchell in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Ted Hurst III's market-based projection is 8.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 104th highest figure of the 205 players with a market-based projection.

Adonai Mitchell's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 121st highest figure of the 205 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst III, and the board ranks him 110th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Adonai Mitchell, and the board ranks him 136th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst III has been on the field for 59 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell has been on the field for 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 9 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 15.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against TEN he caught 3 of 3 targets for 60 yards and did not score.

In Week 2 against GB he caught 6 of 12 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Ted Hurst III is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Adonai Mitchell played 16 games and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 4.6 targets a game, a 45 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger snap share, 76 percent against 59 percent.

This season Adonai Mitchell holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 12 percent.

Byes and availability

Ted Hurst III is off in Week 10 and Adonai Mitchell in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.