Should I start A.J. Brown or Ja'Marr Chase in Week 7?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 17th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ja'Marr Chase, and the board ranks him 72nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 5.

The market-based projections

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 21st highest figure of the 182 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Ja'Marr Chase is 3.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Ja'Marr Chase's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 60 percent of NE snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 21 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Ja'Marr Chase has been on the field for 75 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 2 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 38 targets have averaged 9.2 air yards.

In Week 3 against PIT he caught 9 of 12 targets for 98 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against JAX he caught 3 of 3 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against MIA he caught 6 of 10 targets for 77 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ja'Marr Chase played 16 games and scored 313.6 PPR points, 19.6 a game, finishing WR4.

He caught 125 of 185 targets for 1412 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets.

That came to 11.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 11.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ja'Marr Chase was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Ja'Marr Chase scored 19.6 PPR points a game and A.J. Brown 14.7, 4.9 a game between them.

A.J. Brown finished WR11 that year and Ja'Marr Chase WR4.

Ja'Marr Chase had 64 more targets than A.J. Brown, 185 to 121.

Ja'Marr Chase had 409 more receiving yards than A.J. Brown, 1412 to 1003.

This season Ja'Marr Chase holds the bigger snap share, 75 percent against 60 percent.

This season A.J. Brown holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 20 percent.

Byes and availability

A.J. Brown is off in Week 11 and Ja'Marr Chase in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Ja'Marr Chase has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.