Should I start Matthew Golden or A.J. Brown in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Matthew Golden's market-based projection is 14.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 47th highest figure of the 193 players with a market-based projection.

A.J. Brown's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 66th highest figure of the 193 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Golden, and the board ranks him 37th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on A.J. Brown, and the board ranks him 60th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 23.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Matthew Golden has been on the field for 83 percent of GB snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 50 third down targets, had 1 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 14.0 air yards.

In Week 3 against ATL he caught 5 of 12 targets for 100 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 1 time for 6 yards, caught 3 of 7 targets for 21 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CHI he caught 6 of 7 targets for 123 yards and did not score.

Through Week 1, A.J. Brown has been on the field for 44 percent of NE snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 11 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 1 against SEA he caught 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Matthew Golden played 14 games and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.

He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 12.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 A.J. Brown played 15 games and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 64 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 A.J. Brown scored 14.7 PPR points a game and Matthew Golden 5.0, 9.7 a game between them.

Matthew Golden finished WR89 that year and A.J. Brown WR11.

A.J. Brown had 77 more targets than Matthew Golden, 121 to 44.

A.J. Brown had 642 more receiving yards than Matthew Golden, 1003 to 361.

This season Matthew Golden holds the bigger snap share, 83 percent against 44 percent.

This season Matthew Golden holds the bigger target share, 24 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

2.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.