Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Rico Dowdle in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Ashton Jeanty's market-based projection is 12.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 47th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 9.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ashton Jeanty, and the board ranks him 32nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 8; 2QB: ADP 25.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 52nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Ashton Jeanty has been on the field for 66 percent of LV snaps, taken 54 percent of the carries, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 84 third down targets, had 9 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 55 targets have averaged 1.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against LAR he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 8 of 8 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against NYJ he carried 2 times for 9 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 64 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against SF he carried 6 times for 25 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for -5 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 40 percent of PIT snaps, taken 37 percent of the carries, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 17 targets have come 0.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NO he carried 9 times for 41 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 45 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he carried 15 times for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Ashton Jeanty played 17 games and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He carried 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 more yards.

That came to 15.6 carries a game at 3.7 yards a carry and 3.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.

That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Ashton Jeanty scored 14.4 PPR points a game and Rico Dowdle 12.7, 1.7 a game between them.

Ashton Jeanty finished RB11 that year and Rico Dowdle RB18.

Ashton Jeanty had 30 more carries than Rico Dowdle, 266 to 236.

Ashton Jeanty had 16 more catches than Rico Dowdle, 55 to 39.

This season Ashton Jeanty holds the bigger snap share, 66 percent against 40 percent.

This season Ashton Jeanty holds the bigger share of the carries, 54 percent against 37 percent.

Byes and availability

Ashton Jeanty is off in Week 13 and Rico Dowdle in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.