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Should I start Audric Estime or Khalil Herbert in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 10:51 PM ET.

Start Audric Estime: 26 percent of the snaps and 40 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Khalil Herbert's 17 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB50 · NO · bye 8

2025 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
6.4 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
171

RB52 · ATL · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 0-7

Overall rank
176

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The gap

  • Board size320 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Audric Estime, and the board ranks him 171st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Khalil Herbert, and the board ranks him 176th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Audric Estime is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Khalil Herbert is 2.7 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 12 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Audric Estime's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Audric Estime has been on the field for 26 percent of NO snaps, taken 40 percent of the carries, drawn 2 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 2 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 1 target have come 7.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against BAL he carried 9 times for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against CLE he carried 15 times for 72 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Khalil Herbert has been on the field for 17 percent of ATL snaps, taken 9 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 22 third down targets, had 0 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 11 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 1.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against SF he carried 2 times for 9 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TB he carried 4 times for 12 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against CIN he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 2 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Audric Estime played 7 games and scored 48.1 PPR points, 6.9 a game, finishing RB71.

He carried 46 times for 198 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 12 of 13 targets for 103 more yards.

That came to 6.6 carries a game at 4.3 yards a carry and 1.7 catches a game.

He was on the field for 31 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Khalil Herbert played 7 games and scored 6.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB118.

He carried 16 times for 52 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 4 targets for 4 more yards.

That came to 2.3 carries a game at 3.3 yards a carry and 0.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 7 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Audric Estime scored 6.9 PPR points a game and Khalil Herbert 0.9, 5.9 a game between them.

Audric Estime finished RB71 that year and Khalil Herbert RB118.

Audric Estime had 30 more carries than Khalil Herbert, 46 to 16.

Audric Estime had 11 more catches than Khalil Herbert, 12 to 1.

This season Audric Estime holds the bigger snap share, 26 percent against 17 percent.

This season Audric Estime holds the bigger share of the carries, 40 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

Audric Estime is off in Week 8. No bye is listed for Khalil Herbert.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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