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Should I start David Montgomery or Baker Mayfield in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 9:26 PM ET.

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Start Baker Mayfield: 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against David Montgomery's 42 percent of the snaps and 40 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop David Montgomery for Baker Mayfield?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed questionable. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB32 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 1-4

Overall rank
100

QB16 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Market-based projection
16.0 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on David Montgomery, and the board ranks him 100th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 33.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 102nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for David Montgomery is 5.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Baker Mayfield's market-based projection is 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 30th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

David Montgomery's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, David Montgomery has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, taken 45 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 3 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 3.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against IND he carried 11 times for 33 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 10 times for 24 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 5 times for 11 yards and did not score.

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 118 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 1 against CIN he completed 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 31 yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he completed 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 29 yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 David Montgomery played 17 games and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He carried 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 more yards.

That came to 9.3 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and David Montgomery 9.8, 6.8 a game between them.

David Montgomery finished RB27 and Baker Mayfield QB12, which are two different ladders.

David Montgomery is a running back and Baker Mayfield a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

David Montgomery is off in Week 8 and Baker Mayfield in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

David Montgomery is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

David Montgomery has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop David Montgomery for Baker Mayfield?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). David Montgomery is listed questionable. Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for David Montgomery?

    No. Keep Baker Mayfield: he projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games), David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable. David Montgomery is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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