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Should I start Baker Mayfield or DeMario Douglas in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 8:46 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Barring setbacks, Bucs QB Baker Mayfield expected to start vs. Panthers (ESPN)

Start Baker Mayfield: his market-based projection is 7.0 points a game ahead of DeMario Douglas's this season.

Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Baker Mayfield?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games), DeMario Douglas 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB14 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Market-based projection
16.0 pts a game

WR38 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
9.0 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference7.0 points a game
  • Board size321 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Baker Mayfield's market-based projection is 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 29th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

DeMario Douglas's market-based projection is 9.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 98th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 95th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeMario Douglas, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 118 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 1 against CIN he completed 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 31 yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he completed 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 29 yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Through Week 6, DeMario Douglas has been on the field for 54 percent of NE snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 12 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 30 targets have averaged 10.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against LV he caught 4 of 5 targets for 65 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against NYJ he caught 7 of 8 targets for 86 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 DeMario Douglas played 17 games and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 2.7 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 14.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and DeMario Douglas 5.6, 11.0 a game between them.

Baker Mayfield finished QB12 and DeMario Douglas WR65, which are two different ladders.

Baker Mayfield is a quarterback and DeMario Douglas a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and DeMario Douglas in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

7.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Baker Mayfield?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games), DeMario Douglas 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for DeMario Douglas?

    No. Keep Baker Mayfield: he projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games), DeMario Douglas 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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