Should I start Baker Mayfield or MarShawn Lloyd in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 9:26 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start Baker Mayfield: 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against MarShawn Lloyd's 46 percent of the snaps and 36 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Baker Mayfield?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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Your next move

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

Baker Mayfield

QB16 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Market-based projection: 16.0 pts a game

MarShawn Lloyd

RB33 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Overall rank: 104

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The gap

Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 102nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

Live drafts hold no current pick on MarShawn Lloyd, and the board ranks him 104th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

The market-based projections

Baker Mayfield's market-based projection is 16.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 30th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 5.4 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

MarShawn Lloyd's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 118 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 1 against CIN he completed 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 31 yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he completed 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 29 yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd has been on the field for 39 percent of GB snaps, taken 41 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 3 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 7 times for 13 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 10 times for 31 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 8 times for 10 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

The season feed carries no line for MarShawn Lloyd in the last completed season.

Side by side

Baker Mayfield is a quarterback and MarShawn Lloyd a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and MarShawn Lloyd in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

MarShawn Lloyd has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Baker Mayfield?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for MarShawn Lloyd?
No. Keep Baker Mayfield: he projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.