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Should I start Baker Mayfield or Roschon Johnson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 8:21 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Barring setbacks, Bucs QB Baker Mayfield expected to start vs. Panthers (ESPN)

Start Baker Mayfield: his market-based projection is 9.3 points a game ahead of Roschon Johnson's this season.

Should I drop Roschon Johnson for Baker Mayfield?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games), Roschon Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB15 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Market-based projection
16.1 pts a game

RB32 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
6.8 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference9.3 points a game
  • Board size321 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Baker Mayfield's market-based projection is 16.1 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 29th highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Roschon Johnson's market-based projection is 6.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 122nd highest figure of the 220 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 99th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Roschon Johnson, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 3, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 98 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 118 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 118 dropbacks and scrambled 9 times.

In Week 1 against CIN he completed 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 31 yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he completed 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 29 yards.

In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

Through Week 6, Roschon Johnson has been on the field for 22 percent of CHI snaps, taken 16 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 3 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 2.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 4 times for 16 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he carried 5 times for 6 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against ATL he carried 13 times for 51 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Roschon Johnson played 7 games and scored 1.7 PPR points, 0.2 a game, finishing RB134.

He carried 2 times for 17 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 0 of 0 targets for 0 more yards.

That came to 0.3 carries a game at 9 yards a carry.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield was available for 10 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Roschon Johnson 0.2, 16.4 a game between them.

Baker Mayfield finished QB12 and Roschon Johnson RB134, which are two different ladders.

Baker Mayfield is a quarterback and Roschon Johnson a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 10, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Baker Mayfield is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

9.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Roschon Johnson for Baker Mayfield?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Baker Mayfield projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games), Roschon Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Roschon Johnson?

    No. Keep Baker Mayfield: he projects 144 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.0 a game over 9 games), Roschon Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games). Baker Mayfield is listed questionable.

Should I drop Roschon Johnson?

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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