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Should I start Brenton Strange or Theo Johnson in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 11:31 AM ET.

Start Brenton Strange: 70 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Theo Johnson's 35 percent of the snaps and 4 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE14 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Market-based projection
8.8 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
95

TE28 · NYG · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
1.7 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brenton Strange, and the board ranks him 95th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 146th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Brenton Strange is 2.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 1.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 134th highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

Brenton Strange's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Brenton Strange has been on the field for 76 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 0 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 37 targets have averaged 8.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 5 of 7 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 2 of 2 targets for 55 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against BAL he caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brenton Strange played 12 games and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Theo Johnson was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brenton Strange scored 9.8 PPR points a game and Theo Johnson 8.5, 1.3 a game between them.

Brenton Strange finished TE23 that year and Theo Johnson TE18.

Theo Johnson had 14 more targets than Brenton Strange, 74 to 60.

Brenton Strange had 12 more receiving yards than Theo Johnson, 540 to 528.

This season Brenton Strange holds the bigger snap share, 76 percent against 33 percent.

This season Brenton Strange holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Brenton Strange is off in Week 7. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

What would change the answer

Brenton Strange has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Brenton Strange?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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