Should I start Rico Dowdle or Brian Robinson Jr. in Week 7?
Updated Oct 21, 7:16 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : Brian Robinson Jr.: Listed Questionable (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)
- : Rico Dowdle: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Rico Dowdle: 36 percent of the snaps and 35 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Brian Robinson Jr.'s 27 percent of the snaps and 32 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Brian Robinson Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Robinson Jr. projects 44 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games). Rico Dowdle is listed questionable. Brian Robinson Jr. is listed questionable.
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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.
RB23 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Market-based projection
- 7.7 pts a game
RB26 · ATL · bye 11
2026 vs carries line 4-2
- Overall rank
- 71
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The gap
- Board size315 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 58th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Robinson Jr., and the board ranks him 71st overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 7.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 104th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.
The market has Brian Robinson Jr. at 6.7 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Brian Robinson Jr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 6
Through Week 6, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 36 percent of PIT snaps, taken 35 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 1 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 17 two minute targets.
His 11 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 1 against ATL he carried 8 times for 15 yards, caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.
In Week 2 against NE he carried 7 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 22 yards and did not score.
In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.
Through Week 6, Brian Robinson Jr. has been on the field for 31 percent of ATL snaps, taken 31 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 2 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.
His 6 targets have averaged 1.3 air yards.
In Week 4 against NO he carried 14 times for 62 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 5 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.
In Week 5 against BAL he carried 7 times for 16 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.
In Week 6 against CHI he carried 2 times for 1 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.
He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.
That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.
He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Brian Robinson Jr. played 17 games and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.
He carried 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 more yards.
That came to 5.4 carries a game at 4.3 yards a carry and 0-1 catches a game.
He was on the field for 17 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Both were available for 17 games that season.
Head to head
In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Brian Robinson Jr. 3.7, 9.0 a game between them.
Rico Dowdle finished RB18 that year and Brian Robinson Jr. RB63.
Rico Dowdle had 144 more carries than Brian Robinson Jr., 236 to 92.
Rico Dowdle had 31 more catches than Brian Robinson Jr., 39 to 8.
This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger snap share, 36 percent against 31 percent.
This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger share of the carries, 35 percent against 31 percent.
Byes and availability
Rico Dowdle is off in Week 9 and Brian Robinson Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.
Rico Dowdle is listed as questionable on the injury report.
Brian Robinson Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.
What would change the answer
Brian Robinson Jr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Brian Robinson Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Robinson Jr. projects 44 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games). Rico Dowdle is listed questionable. Brian Robinson Jr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Brian Robinson Jr. for Rico Dowdle?
No. Keep Brian Robinson Jr.: he projects 44 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 10 games), Rico Dowdle 36 (3.6 a game over 10 games). Brian Robinson Jr. is listed questionable. Rico Dowdle is listed questionable.
Both players in full
Week 7 on the board
- Is Rico Dowdle playing Week 7?
- Is Brian Robinson Jr. playing Week 7?
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- Start 'em sit 'em Week 7
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