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Should I start John Metchie III or Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 5:21 AM ET.

Start John Metchie III: 42 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Brian Thomas Jr.'s 44 percent of the snaps and 7 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR84 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
212

WR · JAX · on bye this week

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
4.4 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
264

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The gap

  • Board size316 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on John Metchie III, and the board ranks him 212th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 264th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for John Metchie III is 0.6 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

No season market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr., so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, John Metchie III has been on the field for 35 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 2 of 3 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 43 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 1 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 23 two minute targets.

His 19 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 0 of 3 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against HOU he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 John Metchie III played 16 games and scored 71.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR87.

He caught 33 of 48 targets for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 69 percent catch rate and 8.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 43 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

John Metchie III was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and John Metchie III 4.5, 5.4 a game between them.

John Metchie III finished WR87 that year and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 43 more targets than John Metchie III, 91 to 48.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 433 more receiving yards than John Metchie III, 707 to 274.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger snap share, 43 percent against 35 percent.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 11 percent against 9 percent.

Byes and availability

John Metchie III is off in Week 5 and Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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