Bryce Young or Matthew Stafford: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Bryce Young at 16.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 30th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Matthew Stafford at 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 31st highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Bryce Young: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 104th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 92.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Matthew Stafford: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 17.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Bryce Young has been on the field for 90 percent of CAR snaps, dropped back 41 times and thrown 9.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 5 of 41 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against CHI he completed 23 of 37 passes for 361 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 10 yards.

Through Week 1, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 84 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 25 times and thrown 9.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 7 of 25 dropbacks.

In Week 1 against SF he completed 15 of 25 passes for 155 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bryce Young played 16 games and scored 229.0 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing QB19.

He threw for 3011 yards on 478 attempts with 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Matthew Stafford was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Bryce Young 14.3, 6.8 a game between them.

Bryce Young finished QB19 that year and Matthew Stafford QB3.

Matthew Stafford had 119 more pass attempts than Bryce Young, 597 to 478.

Matthew Stafford had 1696 more passing yards than Bryce Young, 4707 to 3011.

This season Bryce Young holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 84 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Bryce Young is off in Week 5 and Matthew Stafford in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.