Should I start Garrett Wilson or Carnell Tate in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Garrett Wilson's market-based projection is 14.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Carnell Tate's market-based projection is 11.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 57th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Garrett Wilson, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Carnell Tate, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 88 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 28 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 20 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 2 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 63 targets have averaged 10.4 air yards.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIA he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LV he caught 6 of 12 targets for 83 yards and did not score.

Through Week 7, Carnell Tate has been on the field for 82 percent of TEN snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 12 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 51 targets have averaged 12.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against HOU he caught 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he caught 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against CLE he caught 5 of 7 targets for 69 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Carnell Tate is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 88 percent against 82 percent.

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger target share, 28 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

Garrett Wilson is off in Week 13 and Carnell Tate in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

Garrett Wilson is listed as out on the injury report.

Carnell Tate is listed as out on the injury report.

What would change the answer

2.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.