Should I start Christian McCaffrey or Chase Brown in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Christian McCaffrey's market-based projection is 21.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 3rd highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 209 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Christian McCaffrey, and the board ranks him 6th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 7.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 16th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Christian McCaffrey has been on the field for 69 percent of SF snaps, taken 46 percent of the carries, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 37 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 14 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have averaged 2.8 air yards.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 16 times for 64 yards, caught 9 of 10 targets for 53 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 7 times for 39 yards, caught 6 of 7 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 18 times for 68 yards, caught 2 of 3 targets for 19 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 9, Chase Brown has been on the field for 70 percent of CIN snaps, taken 60 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 5 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ATL he carried 9 times for 57 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Christian McCaffrey played 17 games and scored 416.6 PPR points, 24.5 a game, finishing RB1.

He carried 311 times for 1202 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 102 of 129 targets for 924 more yards.

That came to 18.3 carries a game at 3.9 yards a carry and 6.0 catches a game.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Christian McCaffrey scored 24.5 PPR points a game and Chase Brown 16.6, 7.9 a game between them.

Christian McCaffrey finished RB1 that year and Chase Brown RB7.

Christian McCaffrey had 79 more carries than Chase Brown, 311 to 232.

Christian McCaffrey had 33 more catches than Chase Brown, 102 to 69.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger snap share, 70 percent against 69 percent.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger share of the carries, 60 percent against 46 percent.

Byes and availability

Christian McCaffrey is off in Week 8 and Chase Brown in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

6.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.