Chase Brown or David Montgomery: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Chase Brown at 14.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price David Montgomery at 14.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 48th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Chase Brown: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 24th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 30.

Drafters have formed no consensus on David Montgomery: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 73.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Chase Brown has been on the field for 72 percent of CIN snaps, taken 62 percent of the carries, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 3 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 7 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against TB he carried 16 times for 56 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, David Montgomery has been on the field for 49 percent of HOU snaps, taken 63 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 67 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 7 third down targets, had 3 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 11 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have averaged 1.7 air yards.

In Week 1 against BUF he carried 20 times for 60 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 David Montgomery played 17 games and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He carried 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 more yards.

That came to 9.3 carries a game at 4.5 yards a carry and 1.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and David Montgomery 9.8, 6.8 a game between them.

Chase Brown finished RB7 that year and David Montgomery RB27.

Chase Brown had 74 more carries than David Montgomery, 232 to 158.

Chase Brown had 45 more catches than David Montgomery, 69 to 24.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger snap share, 72 percent against 49 percent.

This season David Montgomery holds the bigger share of the carries, 63 percent against 62 percent.

Byes and availability

Chase Brown is off in Week 6 and David Montgomery in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.